It looks like Obama is slightly ahead in terms of electoral votes and popular vote, since he's ahead in previously red states Colorado and New Mexico, and McCain hasn't pulled over any blue states. Some polls put them even on the popular vote.
But McCain has the momentum. Everyone is talking about Palin.
This is going to be closer than I thought. I originally said McCain would only get five states. That's obviously changed. 16 years ago I also underestimated the governor from Arkansas.
I still say Obama takes it, once Palin comes down to earth.
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